Learn how option premiums are determined by factors like stock price, time to expiration, and volatility. Master the basics ...

I recently discussed the ability to use implied volatility to calculate the probability of a successful outcome for any given option trade. To review briefly, the essential concepts a trader must ...

On the latest Market Mashup, Patrick is back with author, analyst, and options trader extraordinaire Don Fishback to discuss his work on options valuation and probability over the years. Don shares ...

Please Note: Blog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors. The plot of at-the-money Put and Call prices versus expiration dates roughly describes a horizontal parabolic ...

Options are a bet on where stocks won't go, not where they will go. Options provide a statistical edge, unlike stocks which boil down to a binary event or a 50:50 probability of success. Options ...

This paper documents that riskier firms with higher idiosyncratic volatility grant more stock options to nonexecutive employees. Standard models in the literature cannot easily explain this pattern; a ...

Patrick: Ladies and gentlemen, welcome back to the Schaeffer's Market Mash up as promised I have a very, very special guest with me today. Author, analyst, world renowned options, expert, Don Fishback ...

One of the key difficulties of analyzing highly kinetic enterprises like IonQ Inc (NYSE: IONQ) is that their valuations incur reflexivity. A concept popularized by George Soros, reflexivity is a ...

While the remarkable rise of gold and silver this year has dramatically elevated the underlying mining complex, the market is a cruelly chaotic and non-linear environment. As such, a steep correction ...

The United States Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, is expected to rule on Oct. 18 whether to approve an application from asset manager ProShare Capital Management for a Bitcoin ...